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Introducing v3 Signal Scoring: Smarter Signals, Higher Win Rates

USStockRadar TeamPublished on 2025-02-154 min read
Introducing v3 Signal Scoring: Smarter Signals, Higher Win Rates

What's New in v3

We've completely rebuilt our signal scoring engine. The new v3 system features 13 scoring factors across four categories, totaling 100 points. Every signal that flows through USStockRadar now receives a more precise quality assessment.

Key Upgrades

  • Polymarket Alignment (7pts) — We now cross-reference signal direction against prediction market consensus from Polymarket via the Gamma API. When institutional flow aligns with market-wide expectations, the conviction score increases.

  • Recalibrated Weights — Since incoming signals are already pre-filtered (premium > $250K, Vol/OI > 1.5, bid/ask skew > 70%), factors that are already enforced by the source receive reduced weight. This allows quant factors and flow factors to be the primary discriminators.

  • Enhanced Greeks Analysis (8pts) — Delta sweet spot detection (0.25-0.55), theta decay assessment, and vega/IV correlation are now baked into the scoring model.

  • IV Environment (8pts) — Low implied volatility environments (under 20%) receive maximum points, as options in these conditions offer better risk/reward. Extreme IV above 85% scores zero.

The 13 Factors at a Glance

CategoryFactorsMax Points
QuantDTE + Moneyness + Greeks + IV38
FlowPremium + TradeType + Side + Sentiment38
Pre-filteredUnusual + BidAsk + Volume14
Market ConsensusPolymarket Alignment7
BonusCategory3

Updated Tier System

TierMin ScoreMeaning
A+75Elite — Highest conviction institutional flow
A60Strong — High quality setup worth close attention
B45Moderate — Decent but mixed signals
C30Weak — Low conviction or missing key factors
D0Low — Lacks multiple conviction indicators

What This Means for You

Higher-tier signals should correlate with higher win rates. Filter your dashboard by A+ only or A+/A to focus on the setups most likely to pay off. We're continuously backtesting tier performance against actual outcomes to refine the model.

Start exploring v3 scores on your dashboard today.